Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sepsi win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sepsi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sepsi would win this match.
