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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mewa Arena

Osijek
1 - 1
Zira FK

Matkovic (38')
Pusic (37'), Ademi (74'), Cavlina (85'), Duarte (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Utzig (90+6' pen.)
Hacili (2'), Nuriev (34'), Ibrahimli (57')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Osijek and Zira FK.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Sibenik
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 1-2 Zira FK
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Dinamo Zagreb55.00Kulenovic
2Rijeka44.00Butic
3Hajduk Split22.00Livaja
4Sibenik22.00Agyemang
5Osijek11.00Soldo
6Slaven Koprivnica11.00Sakota
7Gorica00.00
8Istra 196100.00
9NK Lokomotiva00.00
10Varazdin00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osijek win with a probability of 60.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Zira FK had a probability of 15.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osijek win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Zira FK win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
OsijekDrawZira FK
60.96%23.3% (0.0020000000000024 0) 15.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 43.22% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.99% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)55.01% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.72% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)76.28% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Osijek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.28%17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.62% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)48.38% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Zira FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.53%47.47% (0.002999999999993 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.16% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.84% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Osijek 60.95%
    Zira FK 15.74%
    Draw 23.29%
OsijekDrawZira FK
1-0 @ 14.55%
2-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 7.27%
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 2.02%
5-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.95%
1-1 @ 10.84%
0-0 @ 8.41% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.27%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 15.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Osijek 1-2 Sibenik
Sunday, August 4 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Levadia 0-1 Osijek
Thursday, August 1 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Osijek 5-1 Levadia
Thursday, July 25 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 3-2 Osijek
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Varazdin 0-2 Osijek
Saturday, May 25 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 2-0 Rijeka
Sunday, May 19 at 6.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Dunajska Streda 1-2 Zira FK
Thursday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zira FK 4-0 Dunajska Streda
Thursday, July 25 at 5.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zira FK 1-2 Sheriff Tiraspol (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-1 Zira FK
Thursday, July 11 at 6pm in Europa League
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 0-0 Zira FK
Thursday, July 28 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Zira FK 0-3 M. Tel Aviv
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League


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