SM
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Dinamo Zagreb | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Gorica | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Rijeka | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Hajduk Split | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Istra 1961 | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | NK Lokomotiva | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Varazdin | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Osijek | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Sibenik | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Slaven Koprivnica | 0 | nan |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Levadia Tallinn win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Osijek had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Levadia Tallinn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Osijek win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Osijek | Draw | Levadia Tallinn |
35.87% ( 0.19) | 25.05% ( 0) | 39.07% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 57.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.02% ( 0.02) | 45.98% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.71% ( 0.02) | 68.29% ( -0.02) |
| Osijek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.12) | 25.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( 0.16) | 59.7% ( -0.17) |
| Levadia Tallinn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( -0.09) | 23.32% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( -0.13) | 57.27% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osijek | Draw | Levadia Tallinn |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 11.77% 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.05% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.12% Total : 39.07% |
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