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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena

Flora
2 - 1
KR

Sappinen (7'), Lilander (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Finnbogason (75')
Jarl Jonasson (30'), Chopart (60'), Punyed (63'), Finnbogason (90+4')
Jarl Jonasson (58')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Flora and KR Reykjavik.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flora win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for KR had a probability of 17.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flora win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a KR win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flora would win this match.

Result
FloraDrawKR
61.91%21.08%17.01%
Both teams to score 52.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56%44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.61%66.38%
Flora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.33%13.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.13%40.87%
KR Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77%39.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06%75.94%
Score Analysis
    Flora 61.9%
    KR 17.01%
    Draw 21.08%
FloraDrawKR
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.51%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 1.54%
5-0 @ 1.4%
5-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 61.9%
1-1 @ 9.99%
0-0 @ 5.36%
2-2 @ 4.65%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5.02%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.35%
1-3 @ 1.46%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.01%


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