Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 67.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Progres Niederkorn had a probability of 13.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.59%) and 1-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Progres Niederkorn win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
-0.02) 
0.02) 
