With both sides keen to bounce back to form while looking to avoid a harmful defeat in the first leg, we expect this to be a cagey encounter.
We do, however, give the Austrian giants a slight advantage, given their quality and the need to pick up a result on home turf before they travel to the Netherlands.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.1%) and 0-2 (5.41%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rapid Vienna in this match.
