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Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Feb 24, 2022 at 8pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
2 - 0
Rapid Vienna

Grbic (3'), Bero (19')
Oroz (79'), Dasa (80'), Letsch (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Druijf (74'), Wimmer (76'), Grull (80')

We said: Vitesse 1-1 Rapid Vienna (Vitesse win 3-2 on aggregate)

With two relatively evenly-matched teams squaring off, Thursday's second leg promises to be an intriguing encounter, and, while Vitesse boast the ability to overturn a deficit, we instead see the visitors scraping over the line given their advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Rapid Vienna had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Rapid Vienna win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
VitesseDrawRapid Vienna
48.58%23.62%27.79%
Both teams to score 58.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38%42.62%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97%65.02%
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64%48.36%
Rapid Vienna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5%28.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.27%
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 48.58%
    Rapid Vienna 27.79%
    Draw 23.62%
VitesseDrawRapid Vienna
2-1 @ 9.49%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 4.36%
3-2 @ 3.44%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.89%
4-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 48.58%
1-1 @ 10.96%
2-2 @ 5.96%
0-0 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.62%
1-2 @ 6.88%
0-1 @ 6.33%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.88%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.66%
1-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 27.79%

Read more!
Read more!


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