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Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase

Sarajevo
1 - 1
Torpedo

Torpedo win 4-2 on penalties
Ziljkic (11')
Ziljkic (40'), Beganovic (90'), Serbecic (103'), Mustafic (112')
FT
(aet)
Gigauri (90+1')
Pantsulaia (40'), Bugridze (42'), Gigauri (44'), Mandzhgaladze (81'), Andres Caballero (91'), Goshadze (104')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Torpedo Kutaisi.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 29.8% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
SarajevoDrawTorpedo Kutaisi
44.17% (-0.217 -0.22) 26.02% (0.181 0.18) 29.8% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 52.27% (-0.545 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.15% (-0.718 -0.72)51.85% (0.715 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.39% (-0.625 -0.63)73.61% (0.62400000000001 0.62)
Sarajevo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.63% (-0.413 -0.41)23.37% (0.41 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.66% (-0.603 -0.6)57.34% (0.6 0.6)
Torpedo Kutaisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.2% (-0.345 -0.34)31.79% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.77% (-0.396 -0.4)68.23% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Sarajevo 44.17%
    Torpedo Kutaisi 29.8%
    Draw 26.01%
SarajevoDrawTorpedo Kutaisi
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.85% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.43% (0.209 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 8.51% (0.162 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.09% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 29.8%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarajevo 0-1 Milsami
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Milsami 0-0 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Sarajevo 0-1 Celtic
Thursday, October 1 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Sarajevo 2-1 Buducnost
Thursday, September 24 at 7pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dinamo Brest 2-1 Sarajevo
Wednesday, August 26 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Torpedo 2-2 Sarajevo
Thursday, July 13 at 6pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Torpedo 0-2 Ordabasy
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Ordabasy 1-0 Torpedo
Thursday, July 11 at 3pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Ludogorets 4-0 Torpedo
Thursday, August 30 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Torpedo 0-1 Ludogorets
Thursday, August 23 at 5pm in Europa League Qualifying
Last Game: Kukesi 2-0 Torpedo
Thursday, August 16 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying


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