Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stadion Tušanj
Smajlagic (35' pen., 57'), Celikovic (49'), Kuzmanovic (50'), Sukilovic (58'), Buric (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vandi (51'),
Fall (75'), Cauterucci (90')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tuzla City and Tre Penne.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tuzla City win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tuzla City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tuzla City would win this match.
| Result |
| Tuzla City | Draw | Tre Penne |
51.82% ( 0.01) | 22.95% ( -0.01) | 25.24% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 58.78% ( 0.03) |
| 58.37% ( 0.04) | 41.64% ( -0.03) |
| 35.97% ( 0.04) | 64.04% ( -0.04) |
| 83.86% ( 0.02) | 16.15% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.41% ( 0.03) | 45.59% ( -0.03) |
| 70.1% ( 0.02) | 29.9% ( -0.02) |
