Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Fonte Dell'Ovo
Vandi (69'), Tisselli (78'), Righini (79'), Cauterucci (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nargalic (90+2', 90+3')
Nukic (31')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Tre Penne and Tuzla City.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tuzla City win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Tre Penne had a probability of 32.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tuzla City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.53%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Tre Penne win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tuzla City would win this match.
| Result |
| Tre Penne | Draw | Tuzla City |
32.12% ( -0.02) | 23.53% | 44.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.92% ( -0.01) |
| 60.26% ( -0.01) | 39.74% ( 0.01) |
| 37.9% ( -0.01) | 62.1% ( 0.01) |
| 75.75% ( -0.01) | 24.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.39% ( -0.02) | 58.61% ( 0.02) |
| 81.74% ( 0) | 18.26% ( -0.01) |
