Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 47.42%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Anderlecht had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for an Anderlecht win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.