Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Limassol win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Sparta Prague had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Limassol win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Sparta Prague win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
Result | ||
Aris Limassol | Draw | Sparta Prague |
38.85% ( 0.01) | 25.28% ( 0.01) | 35.87% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 56.7% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( -0.04) | 47% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.76% ( -0.04) | 69.24% ( 0.04) |
Aris Limassol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.01) | 23.89% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.02) | 58.09% ( 0.02) |
Sparta Prague Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.49% ( -0.03) | 25.51% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.64% ( -0.04) | 60.36% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Aris Limassol | Draw | Sparta Prague |
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.87% |
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