The onus is on Sparta Prague to take the game to Dinamo Zagreb on home soil and show a greater threat in the final third if they are to overturn the two-goal deficit.
However, the visitors appear to have turned a corner since the appointment of Jakirovic and we expect the Croatian side to come away with another victory to book their place in the Europa League group stage.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Prague win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Prague win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 0-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Prague would win this match.
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