Basel
3 - 2
Anorthosis

Widmer (4'), Campo (12'), Hambardzumyan (21' og.)
Widmer (18'), Alderete (27'), Vonmoos (61'), Padula (66'), Nikolic (86')
Vonmoos (88')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Vrgoc (45'), Kvilitaia (66' pen.)
Okriashvili (33'), Hambardzumyan (67'), Kvilitaia (84')
Okriashvili (50')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Anorthosis Famagusta.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 68.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Anorthosis Famagusta had a probability of 11.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.69%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for an Anorthosis Famagusta win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Basel	Draw	Anorthosis Famagusta
68.02%	20.81%	11.18%

Both teams to score 38.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.47%

54.53%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.12%

75.88%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.84%

15.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.24%

43.77%

Anorthosis Famagusta Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.54%

54.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.45%

87.55%

Score Analysis

Basel 68.01%

Anorthosis Famagusta 11.18%

Draw 20.81%

Basel	Draw	Anorthosis Famagusta
1-0 @ 15.57% 2-0 @ 14.69% 3-0 @ 9.24% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-1 @ 5.61% 4-0 @ 4.36% 4-1 @ 2.65% 3-2 @ 1.71% 5-0 @ 1.64% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.01%	1-1 @ 9.47% 0-0 @ 8.26% 2-2 @ 2.71% Other @ 0.37% Total : 20.81%	0-1 @ 5.02% 1-2 @ 2.88% 0-2 @ 1.53% Other @ 1.76% Total : 11.18%