Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Thun had a probability of 19.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.86%) and 0-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.29%), while for a Thun win it was 2-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.