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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
3 - 1
Zalgiris

Zinckernagel (20'), Okoh Boniface (32'), Andre Bjorkan (81')
Lode (17')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Antal (26')
Simkus (21'), Karamarko (81')
Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Bodo/Glimt and FK Zalgiris.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawFK Zalgiris
62.3%20.81%16.88%
Both teams to score 53.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94%43.05%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54%65.45%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75%13.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97%40.03%
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.18%38.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.44%75.55%
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 62.29%
    FK Zalgiris 16.88%
    Draw 20.81%
Bodo/GlimtDrawFK Zalgiris
2-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 6.7%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.39%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-0 @ 1.45%
5-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 62.29%
1-1 @ 9.84%
0-0 @ 5.14%
2-2 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.81%
0-1 @ 4.87%
1-2 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.48%
1-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 16.88%


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