Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Dinamo Zagreb had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.
