Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 57.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.