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Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 4, 2021 at 8pm UK
 
CL

Ferencvaros
2 - 3
Celtic

Zubkov (11'), Uzuni (86')
Mmaee (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Furuhashi (3'), Jota (23'), Abada (60')
Welsh (10')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.94%) and 0-2 (5.3%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
FerencvarosDrawCeltic
35.25%22.55%42.2%
Both teams to score 66.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.09%33.92%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.23%55.77%
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.17%19.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.08%51.92%
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23%16.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28%46.72%
Score Analysis
    Ferencvaros 35.25%
    Celtic 42.2%
    Draw 22.55%
FerencvarosDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 7.77%
1-0 @ 5.38%
2-0 @ 4.35%
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-2 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 6.94%
0-0 @ 3.33%
3-3 @ 2.23%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 5.3%
1-3 @ 5.11%
2-3 @ 4.13%
0-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.28%
2-4 @ 1.84%
0-4 @ 1.41%
3-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 42.2%

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