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Europa League | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
BayArena
F

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Ferencvaros

Palacios (37'), Wirtz (69')
Demirbay (10')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mmaee (8')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.97%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFerencvaros
51.97%23.48%24.54%
Both teams to score 56.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.34%44.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.98%67.01%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.8%17.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.53%47.47%
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.92%32.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.45%68.55%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 51.97%
    Ferencvaros 24.54%
    Draw 23.48%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 9.72%
1-0 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 8.55%
3-1 @ 5.7%
3-0 @ 5.02%
3-2 @ 3.24%
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 51.97%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 5.53%
0-0 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 6.28%
0-1 @ 6.27%
0-2 @ 3.57%
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 2.09%
0-3 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.54%

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