Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hammarby win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hammarby win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Lech Poznan win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
