Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.