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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium
ML

Be'er Sheva
3 - 0
Motherwell

Vitor (43'), Pesqueira (71' pen.), Acolatse (83')
Kabha (15'), Taha (45+3'), Dadya (54'), Agudelo (56'), Bareiro (58')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Watt (45+3'), O'Donnell (56'), Gallagher (69')
Gallagher (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hapoel Be'er Sheva would win this match.

Result
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawMotherwell
45.13%24.38%30.48%
Both teams to score 58.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.5%44.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.13%66.86%
Hapoel Be'er Sheva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15%19.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05%51.94%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4%27.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87%63.13%
Score Analysis
    Hapoel Be'er Sheva 45.13%
    Motherwell 30.48%
    Draw 24.38%
Hapoel Be'er ShevaDrawMotherwell
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 8.86%
2-0 @ 7.16%
3-1 @ 4.97%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.56%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.94%
0-0 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-1 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.54%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 30.48%


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