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ML
Europa League | First Qualifying Round
Aug 27, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Fir Park

Motherwell
5 - 1
Glentoran

Lang (58'), O'Donnell (72'), Polworth (75'), Watt (78'), Long (87')
Campbell (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McDaid (90' pen.)
Clucas (10'), McDonagh (76'), Cowan (90+3')
Clucas (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawGlentoran
46.79%23.47%29.74%
Both teams to score 60.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35%40.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.97%63.03%
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36%17.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75%48.25%
Glentoran Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83%26.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75%61.25%
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 46.79%
    Glentoran 29.74%
    Draw 23.46%
MotherwellDrawGlentoran
2-1 @ 9.32%
1-0 @ 8.01%
2-0 @ 6.95%
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 3.61%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.74%
4-2 @ 1.57%
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 46.79%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.24%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.2%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.79%
0-3 @ 1.85%
1-4 @ 1.08%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 29.74%


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