Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.