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Europa League | Second Qualifying Round
Sep 17, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadion Lokomotiv
SL

L. Plovdiv
1 - 2
Spurs

Minchev (71')
Karagaren (51'), Almeida (67'), Masoero (87')
Karagaren (79'), Almeida (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kane (80' pen.), Ndombele (85')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 62.93%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lokomotiv Plovdiv had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.4%) and 1-2 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lokomotiv Plovdiv win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv PlovdivDrawTottenham Hotspur
14.17%22.89%62.93%
Both teams to score 40.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.87%56.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.81%77.19%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.59%50.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.06%84.93%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57%17.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.13%47.86%
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14.17%
    Tottenham Hotspur 62.92%
    Draw 22.89%
Lokomotiv PlovdivDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 6.02%
2-1 @ 3.6%
2-0 @ 2.06%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 14.17%
1-1 @ 10.51%
0-0 @ 8.78%
2-2 @ 3.15%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.89%
0-1 @ 15.34%
0-2 @ 13.4%
1-2 @ 9.19%
0-3 @ 7.81%
1-3 @ 5.35%
0-4 @ 3.41%
1-4 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-5 @ 1.19%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 62.92%


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