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Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
Selhurst Park
SL

Crystal Palace
1 - 1
Spurs

Schlupp (53')
McCarthy (17'), Mitchell (49'), Kouyate (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kane (13')
Alderweireld (61'), Dier (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 50.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.82%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Crystal PalaceDrawTottenham Hotspur
23.35%25.67%50.98%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33%54.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%76%
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35%38.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61%75.39%
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.52%21.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49%54.52%
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace 23.35%
    Tottenham Hotspur 50.98%
    Draw 25.66%
Crystal PalaceDrawTottenham Hotspur
1-0 @ 7.89%
2-1 @ 5.77%
2-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.41%
3-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.35%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 8.3%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 12.76%
0-2 @ 9.82%
1-2 @ 9.34%
0-3 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-4 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 50.98%


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