Lokomotivi Tbilisi
2 - 1
Dynamo Moscow

Sikharulidze (54'), Gavashelishvili (76')
Samurkasovi (7'), Sandokhadze (33'), Gabadze (40'), Sikharulidze (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Komlichenko (90' pen.)
Skopintsev (21'), Yevgenyev (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Lokomotiv Tbilisi and Dynamo Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotivi Tbilisi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotivi Tbilisi would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv Tbilisi	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
39.92%	26.66%	33.41%

Both teams to score 51.64%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.7%

53.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.15%

74.84%

Lokomotiv Tbilisi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.81%

26.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.73%

61.27%

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.17%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Tbilisi 39.92%

Dynamo Moscow 33.42%

Draw 26.66%

Lokomotiv Tbilisi	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.16% 3-2 @ 2.28% 4-1 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.92%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 9.46% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 5.69% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.35% Total : 33.42%