Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 40.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 29.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 2-1 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.