Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 19.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.97%) and 2-3 (5.61%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Royal Antwerp in this match.