Neftchi Baku
1 - 3
Galatasaray

Mbodj (46')
Ibara (18'), Alasgarov (35'), Kane (69'), Krivotsyuk (86'), Bougrine (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Diagne (19', 63'), Luyindama (48')
Feghouli (54'), Saracchi (90+2')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Europa League Second Qualifying Round clash between Neftchi Baku and Galatasaray.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Neftchi Baku	Draw	Galatasaray
37.86%	24.66%	37.48%

Both teams to score 59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.93%

44.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.55%

66.45%

Neftchi Baku Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.91%

23.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06%

56.94%

Galatasaray Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.71%

23.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.77%

57.23%

Score Analysis

Neftchi Baku 37.86%

Galatasaray 37.48%

Draw 24.66%

Neftchi Baku	Draw	Galatasaray
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.78% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 2.82% 4-1 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.21% Total : 37.86%	1-1 @ 11.48% 2-2 @ 6.13% 0-0 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.48% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.17% Total : 37.48%