Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarajevo would win this match.