Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%).