While the hosts have been struggling recently, the visitors have been in great form under their new manager and come into this game as the favourites to secure a lead for the return leg at home.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 54.31%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.02) 
