Slavia came up with a big win over Roma on matchday four, so they will want to ensure they do not waste the opportunity they now have to win the group by claiming all three points against a side they beat 6-0 less than two months ago.
Sheriff have been way below the level they have shown in past European campaigns, and are likely to suffer the fate of bottom place in this group by losing here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheriff Tiraspol win with a probability of 49.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 25.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheriff Tiraspol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slavia Prague would win this match.
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