Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
