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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 8pm UK
Koning Willem II Stadion
RL

Willem II
0 - 4
Rangers


Nelom (27'), Pavlidis (81'), Llonch (82')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tavernier (22' pen.), Kent (25'), Helander (55', 71')
Barisic (6'), Morelos (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 54.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 18.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.84%) and 1-2 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-0 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.

Result
Willem IIDrawRangers
18.91%26.81%54.27%
Both teams to score 39.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.34%62.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.78%82.22%
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52%48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.77%83.23%
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58%23.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58%57.42%
Score Analysis
    Willem II 18.91%
    Rangers 54.26%
    Draw 26.81%
Willem IIDrawRangers
1-0 @ 8.25%
2-1 @ 4.4%
2-0 @ 3.03%
3-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.91%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 11.24%
2-2 @ 3.19%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 16.31%
0-2 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-3 @ 5.73%
1-3 @ 4.21%
0-4 @ 2.08%
2-3 @ 1.54%
1-4 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 54.26%


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