Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kosovo had a probability of 20.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Kosovo win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
