Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Denmark win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Belgium in this match.