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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2021 at 5pm UK
Telia Parken
BN

Denmark
1 - 2
Belgium

Poulsen (2')
Wass (59'), Damsgaard (69'), Jensen (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hazard (55'), De Bruyne (70')
Hazard (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Denmark had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Denmark win was 2-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Belgium in this match.

Result
DenmarkDrawBelgium
36.18%22.8%41.01%
Both teams to score 65.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.99%35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.01%56.99%
Denmark Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.13%19.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.02%51.98%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.29%17.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.64%48.35%
Score Analysis
    Denmark 36.18%
    Belgium 41.01%
    Draw 22.8%
DenmarkDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 7.95%
1-0 @ 5.69%
2-0 @ 4.59%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-2 @ 3.71%
3-0 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.5%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 36.18%
1-1 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 6.88%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 2.14%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.8%
1-2 @ 8.52%
0-1 @ 6.09%
0-2 @ 5.27%
1-3 @ 4.92%
2-3 @ 3.97%
0-3 @ 3.04%
1-4 @ 2.13%
2-4 @ 1.72%
0-4 @ 1.32%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 41.01%

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