Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 68.61%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 9.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.59%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.96%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denmark would win this match.
