Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 53.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Russia had a probability of 23.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Russia win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.
