Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).
