Netherlands
3 - 2
Ukraine

Wijnaldum (52'), Weghorst (58'), Dumfries (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Yarmolenko (75'), Yaremchuk (79')
Sydorchuk (90+3')

Preview

Frank De Boer: 'We must learn from our mistakes'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 62.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 13.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.23%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.84%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
Netherlands	Draw	Ukraine
62.2%	24.28%	13.52%

Both teams to score 36.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.31%

61.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.49%

81.51%

Netherlands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.21%

19.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.16%

51.84%

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

45.19%

54.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.23%

87.77%

Score Analysis

Netherlands 62.19%

Ukraine 13.52%

Draw 24.27%

Netherlands	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 17.56% 2-0 @ 14.23% 2-1 @ 8.56% 3-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 4.62% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.39% 5-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.14% Total : 62.19%	0-0 @ 10.84% 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.3% Total : 24.27%	0-1 @ 6.52% 1-2 @ 3.18% 0-2 @ 1.96% Other @ 1.86% Total : 13.52%