Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
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