FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Security Stadium
McGowan (15' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between 1874 Northwich and Stocksbridge Park Steels.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 60.22%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for 1874 Northwich had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a 1874 Northwich win it was 2-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result |
| 1874 Northwich | Draw | Stocksbridge Park Steels |
| 19.23% | 20.54% | 60.22% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0) |
| 62.2% ( -0) | 37.79% |
| 39.95% | 60.04% ( -0) |
| 66.91% ( -0) | 33.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.32% | 69.67% ( -0) |
| Stocksbridge Park Steels Goals |
| 87.78% ( -0) | 12.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.11% ( -0) | 37.88% |
1874 Northwich 19.23%
Stocksbridge Park Steels 60.22%
Draw 20.54%
| 1874 Northwich | Draw | Stocksbridge Park Steels |
2-1 @ 5.2%
1-0 @ 4.47%
2-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 2.02%
3-1 @ 1.92%
3-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 19.23%
| 1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 5.47%
0-0 @ 4.04%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.54%
| 1-2 @ 9.88% ( -0)
0-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 8.49%
1-3 @ 6.93%
0-3 @ 6.26%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 3.64%
0-4 @ 3.29%
2-4 @ 2.01%
1-5 @ 1.53%
0-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 4.04%
Total : 60.22%
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