AFC Sudbury
0 - 4
Colchester

Andrews (24'), Temple (47'), Keys (84'), O'Malley (85')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sarpong-Wiredu (35'), Sears (39'), Jasper (71'), McCoulsky (90+3')
George (83'), Nouble (90+4')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between AFC Sudbury and Colchester United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 72.41%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for AFC Sudbury had a probability of 11.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-3 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for an AFC Sudbury win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
AFC Sudbury	Draw	Colchester United
11.28%	16.31%	72.41%

Both teams to score 53.69%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.37%

34.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.42%

56.58%

AFC Sudbury Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.57%

41.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.06%

77.94%

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.67%

8.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.96%

29.04%

Score Analysis

AFC Sudbury 11.28%

Colchester United 72.41%

Draw 16.31%

AFC Sudbury	Draw	Colchester United
2-1 @ 3.33% 1-0 @ 3.04% 2-0 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.22% 3-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.28%	1-1 @ 7.56% 2-2 @ 4.14% 0-0 @ 3.45% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.31%	0-2 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-3 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 7.78% 0-4 @ 5.49% 1-4 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 3.43% 0-5 @ 2.73% 1-5 @ 2.4% 2-4 @ 2.13% 0-6 @ 1.13% 2-5 @ 1.06% 1-6 @ 1% Other @ 2.96% Total : 72.41%