Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.
