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League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
CU

Port Vale
3 - 0
Colchester

Gibbons (6'), Wilson (16'), Martin (61')
Gibbons (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Sarpong-Wiredu (11'), Chilvers (51')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and Colchester United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 2-1 (7.86%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port ValeDrawColchester United
40.94%29.4%29.66%
Both teams to score 42.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.04%63.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.85%83.15%
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.26%30.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33%67%
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.62%38.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.87%75.13%
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 40.94%
    Colchester United 29.65%
    Draw 29.38%
Port ValeDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.91%
2-0 @ 8.21%
2-1 @ 7.86%
3-0 @ 3.23%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 0.95%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 11.79%
2-2 @ 3.76%
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 11.29%
1-2 @ 6.38%
0-2 @ 5.41%
1-3 @ 2.04%
0-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 29.65%

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