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FA Cup | First Round Qualifying
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cropston Road

Anstey Nomads
3 - 1
Alvechurch

 
FT
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Qualifying clash between Anstey Nomads and Alvechurch.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Grimsby Borough 0-5 Anstey Nomads
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Alvechurch 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anstey Nomads win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Alvechurch had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Anstey Nomads win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Alvechurch win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anstey Nomads would win this match.

Result
Anstey NomadsDrawAlvechurch
46.27% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 22.05% (0.0010000000000012 0) 31.68% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 67.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)54.32% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Anstey Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)14.77% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.012 -0.01)43.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Alvechurch Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.92% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.08% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.11% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)53.89% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Anstey Nomads 46.27%
    Alvechurch 31.68%
    Draw 22.05%
Anstey NomadsDrawAlvechurch
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 5.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 4.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.09%
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 46.27%
1-1 @ 9.27%
2-2 @ 6.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.11%
3-3 @ 2.28%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.05%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 31.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Grimsby Borough 0-5 Anstey Nomads
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Alvechurch 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Alvechurch 0-3 Walsall
Saturday, July 13 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


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