Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Biggleswade win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Basildon United had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Biggleswade win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Basildon United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Biggleswade would win this match.