Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
