It is always difficult to know what to expect when two teams in the same league lock horns in the FA Cup, but it is difficult to ignore Sutton's form when predicting this match. We are expecting a tight contest on Saturday afternoon but believe that the visitors will have just about enough to continue their journey in the competition.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 48.86%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
