Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stamford win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Carlton Town had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stamford win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.86%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Carlton Town win was 2-1 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
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