Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
