SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Maidstone United |
35.77% ( -0.38) | 25.56% ( 0.09) | 38.66% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.7% ( -0.42) | 48.3% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.55% ( -0.39) | 70.44% ( 0.38) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( -0.42) | 26.18% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( -0.56) | 61.26% ( 0.56) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.04) | 24.58% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.05) | 59.06% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.3% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.66% |
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