FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Chester FC and Stockton Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 56.43%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Stockton Town had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Stockton Town win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chester FC in this match.
| Result |
| Chester FC | Draw | Stockton Town |
56.43% ( 0.78) | 23.43% ( -0.43) | 20.14% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( 0.77) |
| 50.7% ( 1.29) | 49.3% ( -1.29) |
| 28.65% ( 1.15) | 71.35% ( -1.15) |
| 82.72% ( 0.76) | 17.28% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.39% ( 1.31) | 47.61% ( -1.31) |
| 61.19% ( 0.37) | 38.81% ( -0.37) |
